I was thinking. The way technology has made it possible for anyone to be a photographer to a point (in terms of editing), and the rate that cell phone cameras are getting better quality, is it likely that in 15 years or so there may be little need for pro photography cammeras and lenses. I don't know why many people hire photographers now unless it's for convenience or time. Am I wrong to be a bit concerned about this?
Unless the market redefines people's expectations in ad photos, I don't think there's any danger. The extra controls for pro cameras are there for a reason, and the knowledge of how to use them doesn't come in the box with the new camera.
We went through a slump in our business when DSLR's got cheap and people bought the BS lines about anyone could do it with the latest computer software to "fix" photos. In very short order our income from ads, industrial and scientific shooting, as well as studio shots and weddings rebounded nicely. It was amazing how many people had bought the advertising pitches, tried to do the work themselves, and came to realize there was really good value in hiring us. Cameras most certainly will improve over the next 15 years, but pro photography will improve right along with it. If folks don't need the extra measure of quality from a pro's experience to meet their photo needs, that's one thing. But it's still going to take experience and skill to bring the best from the gear.
Posted by Jim DeWitt on November 17, 2011 at 11:12 PM
New personal computers were supposed to me Information Technology Departments unnecessary. That didn't happen. Garageband and similar programs were supposed to make professional musicians unnecessary. Didn't happen. Shucks, spreadsheet programs were supposed to put estimators and accountants out of business. There aren't any fewer accountants. Computerized tax preparation software (TurboTax et al.) were supposed to kill H & R Block. That certainly didn't happen.
Talent, skill and knowledge will always have a place. Look at the difference between beginners and pros at NPN. Nor are the laws of physics like to change: lens size matters.
Discussion
2 repliesWe went through a slump in our business when DSLR's got cheap and people bought the BS lines about anyone could do it with the latest computer software to "fix" photos. In very short order our income from ads, industrial and scientific shooting, as well as studio shots and weddings rebounded nicely. It was amazing how many people had bought the advertising pitches, tried to do the work themselves, and came to realize there was really good value in hiring us. Cameras most certainly will improve over the next 15 years, but pro photography will improve right along with it. If folks don't need the extra measure of quality from a pro's experience to meet their photo needs, that's one thing. But it's still going to take experience and skill to bring the best from the gear.
Talent, skill and knowledge will always have a place. Look at the difference between beginners and pros at NPN. Nor are the laws of physics like to change: lens size matters.
I'm not worried.